키예프 인디펜던트란 우크라 매체 올 5월
기사고 근래 우크라군의 자포리자주 반격이
러시아의 자포리자시 공략 시도를 충분히
억제시키는 돌파구가 되지 못 했단 말과
함께 시작됩니다.
또, 루비콘 센터를 필두로 하는 러시아 드론
부대가 우크라 정찰드론과 폭격드론을
격추시키고 우크라 드론 부대를 타격 해서
우크라군 여단들을 지속적으로 무지막지하게
어려운 상태로 몰아넣고 있다네요.
키예프 당국에 따르면 러시아가 올해 FPV
드론을 730만대 만들거라 하구요.
러시아 드론부대의 우크라 드론부대 제압에
대규모 포격이 동반된다면 심대한 영토 확장할
여건이 마련될 수 있다고 하기도 하네요.
그리고, 우크라 병사들이 전선서 일년 넘게
교대 못 하는 경우도 꽤 있답니다.
Analysis: Is Ukraine starting to win the war again?
2026.05.10
At the back end of winter, taking advantage
of the cut-off of Starlink for Russian forces
in the field, Ukraine counterattacked across
a wide front in the south.
These counterpunches, while not leading to
a breakthrough, helped upend Russian plans
to continue pushing west towards the city of Zaporizhzhia.
One weak spot could be the long northern
state border in Sumy and Kharkiv oblasts,
where Russian forces have already crossed
in more and more locatoins over the last
few months, potentially paving the way
for a larger offensive.
Elite Russian drone units, particularly the
notorious Rubicon center, continue to make
life brutally difficult for Ukrainian brigades
facing them, choking logistics with fiber
optic FPVs, intercepting higher-value
Ukrainian reconnaissance and bomber
drones from the sky, and hunting
Ukraine's own drone teams in the field.
When combined with heavy artillery
bombardment and mass infiltration on
the ground, Rubicon's suppresion of
Ukrainian drone teams does still create
serious problems for the defending force,
and can still create conditions for
significant gains.
Despite its cumbersome, centralized
structure and setbacks from the Starlink
cut-off, Russia continues to invest heavily
in its drone force, with Kyiv reporting in
May that Moscow aims to produce 7.3
million FPVs in 2026.
Ukraine needs to find a way to provide
brigades with proper replenishments for
the infantry, an unimaginably brutal job
in which soldiers are increasingly
spending months, sometimes over a year,
on front-line positions at once before rotation.
For now, Moscow can continue its war
so long as it has the men and the money
to do so.
